Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.747954 0.867809 0.997783 1.148831 1.319155 1.504876 1.722305
2024-12-22 0.563401 0.726863 0.920202 1.164066 1.461607 1.810899 2.249851
2024-12-29 0.466056 0.656960 0.899471 1.226149 1.650159 2.176914 2.875112
2025-01-05 0.374284 0.571674 0.838958 1.220369 1.742438 2.422767 3.365348
2025-01-12 0.304130 0.500045 0.781158 1.203445 1.809016 2.631387 3.814533
2025-01-19 0.252449 0.444419 0.734897 1.191949 1.875056 2.836872 4.266588
2025-01-26 0.219884 0.411722 0.716109 1.214993 1.987913 3.110510 4.826225
2025-02-02 0.191655 0.380769 0.694692 1.229292 2.085625 3.365323 5.371198
2025-02-09 0.166986 0.351430 0.671200 1.235953 2.169390 3.601820 5.900122
2025-02-16 0.150165 0.333256 0.663531 1.266325 2.290918 3.900603 6.536835
2025-02-23 0.133011 0.311412 0.646245 1.277530 2.380353 4.152900 7.113848
2025-03-02 0.111084 0.276081 0.599634 1.231691 2.369077 4.242450 7.438478
2025-03-09 0.101453 0.265230 0.598421 1.268766 2.504799 4.581675 8.185924
2025-03-16 0.091799 0.252677 0.592353 1.296157 2.625590 4.903682 8.923735
2025-03-23 0.087422 0.251458 0.608876 1.367974 2.830981 5.379032 9.937779
2025-03-30 0.076763 0.233185 0.587453 1.362853 2.894031 5.613338 10.559107
2025-04-06 0.066550 0.213903 0.561122 1.344641 2.930102 5.801167 11.108843
2025-04-13 0.058151 0.197547 0.538904 1.332124 2.975005 6.005383 11.694297
2025-04-20 0.053181 0.189577 0.534851 1.357523 3.095331 6.350939 12.541873
2025-04-27 0.048183 0.180471 0.526845 1.373267 3.196930 6.666629 13.349520
2025-05-04 0.043299 0.170625 0.515664 1.380599 3.281401 6.954009 14.117913
2025-05-11 0.040173 0.165609 0.515965 1.414002 3.421717 7.352799 15.104841
2025-05-18 0.036417 0.157683 0.507643 1.426323 3.518072 7.671775 15.957507